Forbes: Joan Lappin Positive On Sirius

Adviser Soapbox
Sirius Is Sucking A Lot Less
Joan E. Lappin, Gramercy Capital Management 05.31.07, 6:10 PM ET, Forbes

Uncertainty surrounding the deal to merge XM Satellite Radio and Sirius Satellite Radio has put both stocks on the discard pile and pushed them to new lows, but after bottoming on May 16 at $2.66, Sirius has been on a tear. Very funny, you might say, since just about everyone who owns it is underwater, but Sirius is up almost 10% since mid-May, while the Dow has been about flat. We think Sirius is worth a lot more than its present price for those who are patient.
The naysayers have always thought that satellite radio is not a valid business model. I view it more like any utility. Once you launch the satellites, it doesn’t cost much more to service added customers beyond billing and customer care. Unlike the cable industry, in this one you don’t even have to do a "truck roll" and send a technician to install it.
If you can imagine such an absurdity, Goldman Sachs recently, with Sirius at $2.86, put out a 25-page sell recommendation suggesting 20% risk in the stock, or another 50 cents to the downside. Perhaps they are trying to appeal to an audience of short sellers, but aren’t they a little late? The short position in Sirius, usually only about a two-day trading supply, fell to its lowest level in a long time in the most recent May Nasdaq report.
Even as investors don’t find the satellite business model appealing, the car companies definitely do. They have concluded that factory installed satellite radio is an attractive selling point to new buyers, particularly when included in the price of the vehicle. Sirius Satellite Radio has been working hard with some success with Ford Motor to test bundle a three-year package into some models when purchased. Kia (Sirius) and Hyundai (XM) are building satellite radios into 100% of the cars they will manufacture for the 2009 model year, which will begin mid-year 2008. High-end brands such as Mercedes (Sirius) are equipping more than 80% of their production with factory-installed units. Chrysler (Sirius) will be moving from satellite radios in 36% of all cars manufactured in 2006 to 42% of new vehicle production in 2007. Probably due to its other distractions, General Motors has been slow to accelerate the number of XM radios it builds into cars, but now, in its seventh model year, it too will feature them in nearly 44% of vehicles this year.
XM Satellite Radio has stated a goal of adding 1.1 million to 1.3 million net new subscribers in 2007, and Sirius expects to add about 2 million net subs this year. If those numbers turn out to be correct, XM will end this year with 9 million subs and Sirius will approach 8 million for a combined total of 17 million users, compared with 14 million at the end of last year. Once the industry reaches 20 million users, you have a viable base for selling national ads. Consider that there are more than 230 million cars on the road in the U.S. That leaves a lot of cars to penetrate in the future, whether or not the merger is allowed to proceed...read more: here

5/31/2007 09:20:00 PM

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League Of Rural Voters Supports SIRI+XMSR Merger

SIRIUS/XM Satellite Radio Merger Critical to Growth and Development of Rural Communities
League of Rural Voters Adds Its Voice and Support for Sirius/XM Satellite Radio Merger

MINNEAPOLIS, May 31, 2007 /PRNewswire via COMTEX

The League of Rural Voters urged the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to approve the merger.......

Satellite Standard Group has merged with SiriusBuzz. You can catch the balance of this article, and future articles by visiting www.siriusbuzz.com. You can also participate in message board forums at Sirius Buzz

5/31/2007 08:09:00 AM

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NAB Gets Even More Desperate: Hires Law Firm To Prepare Report Against Merger

Law Firm Says Sirius/XM Merger Would Violate Antitrust Law
via www.radioink.com, May 31

A report prepared by the NAB-retained law firm of Crowell & Moring that has been sent to lawmakers and filed with the FCC characterizes the proposed satellite radio merger of XM and Sirius as "clearly anticompetitive." The report reads, in part: "The proposed merger would replace this duopoly market structure, set up specifically by the FCC to ensure at least some level of price and service competition, with a monopolist in the downstream subscription market that is unrestrained in its ability to harm competition. There simply is no ‘fix’ that will restore the competitive structure of this marketplace, and thus DOJ should challenge the transaction to preserve existing and future competition."...read more: here

5/31/2007 07:42:00 AM

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CBS Buys Internet Radio Site

CBS Buys Last.fm for $280 Million
By KEVIN KINGSBURY, May 31, 2007; Page B5, Wall Street Journal

CBS Corp. acquired social-networking Web site Last.fm Ltd. for $280 million, delving further into the music business where it was once one of the major players.
Last.fm, founded in 2002, claims it has more than 15 million active users in more than 200 countries and is focused on music.
The Wall Street Journal, citing people familiar with the matter, reported two weeks ago that CBS was working on agreements with Last.fm and fellow social-networking site Facebook Inc. to allow users to post CBS video clips to their profiles. (See related article1.)
"Last.fm is one of the most well-established, fastest-growing online community networks out there," said CBS President and Chief Executive Leslie Moonves in a statement. He added the site's "demographics also play perfectly to CBS's goal to attract younger viewers and listeners across our businesses."
Last.fm's team -- including founders Felix Miller, Martin Stiksel and Richard Jones -- will continue to independently run the site.
"Part of our interactive strategy has been to build communities around all of our properties," said Mr. Moonves. "CBS Radio has given us a powerful way to create such communities for decades, and it continues to do so. With Last.fm we're adding a next-generation platform to allow audiences to communicate with us and each other as never before."
CBS said in December it would launch a new CBS Records label, reviving a name associated for several decades with such artists as Michael Jackson, The Eagles, Barbara Streisand and Earth, Wind & Fire...read more: here

5/31/2007 07:37:00 AM

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Auto Contracts To Drive Satellite Radio

Automotive contracts seen driving satellite radio
Wed May 30, 2007 2:38 PM ET, By Sue Zeidler, (Reuters)

Whether the two largest satellite radio companies merge or not, the future of the industry is riding on automotive contracts at a time when competition for in-car entertainment is increasing.
Sirius Satellite Radio Inc.'s bid to buy XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. for $4 billion would help the two companies cut losses, compete more effectively and turn profits faster, the companies have said. But they have also stipulated they don't need the deal to survive since they already have contracts in place to install millions of radios in new cars in coming years.
To date, neither satellite radio provider has yet made a profit. The companies have borrowed heavily to launch their businesses and establish costly contracts with celebrity personalities such as Oprah Winfrey and Martha Stewart, and sports franchises like Major League Baseball.
On a stand-alone basis, analysts project that Sirius will not post a profit until 2010 and XM not until 2011, according to average forecasts from Reuters Estimates....read more: here

5/31/2007 07:27:00 AM

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Dodging Bullets: thestreet.com On Merger

Stalled Merger Is Slamming Sirius
By Scott Moritz, Senior Writer, thestreet.com, 5/31/2007 6:05 AM

The merger of XM (XMSR) and Sirius (SIRI) still hasn't reached the launch pad.
It seems the satellite-radio hookup remains earthbound as lobbyists and power brokers face off.
It has been 70 days since the two companies have filed their intentions with federal regulators -- yet the merger hasn't even passed the preliminary review process.
The delay means that the Federal Communication Commissions has yet to start its 180-day merger-review clock.
"This constitutes the longest application-to-clock delay in FCC history," David Trout of M&A Researcher says in a report Wednesday. "There is simply no way to view the delay in a positive light."
Indeed, a look at some other recent deals in the tech sector shows that none took as long as the XM-Sirius proposal to get its regulatory clock started.
The combination of the nation's only two pay-radio providers poses a difficult case for regulators. To sign off, they must be persuaded that consumers would get good prices and better selection with one broadcaster...read more: here

5/31/2007 07:23:00 AM

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XMSR: Form 4 SEC Fillings

XMSR files several Form 4's (Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities) with the SEC

5/31/2007 06:23:00 AM

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The Meaning Of "Competition Alert"

After Sirius and XM announced their agreement to merge, several groups came out against the combination claiming that it was "anti-competitive". I have created the headline "competition alert", which I use everytime a competing service is highlighted in the news. Here is a list of the mentions over the past few months. I'm sure the FCC and DOJ staff members read the papers, too!

5/30/2007 10:00:00 PM

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Bridge Ratings, Updated May 30th

The Bridge Ratings Q2 - Mid-Term 2007 Satellite Radio Update
Wednesday May 30, 2007

Demand for Satellite Radio Soft but Consistent
Bridge Ratings continues to interview current and potential consumers of satellite radio. Interviews are conducted via random phone calls and in-store intercept at satellite radio kiosks and departments. With the growing influence of new car installations, this quarter we've added interviews at car dealerships.
Both satellite companies released their first quarter subscriber numbers in April with a net total of 760,000 new subscribers since the start of the year bringing the sector total to 14.5 million. This number falls short of the first quarter target of 780,000 Bridge Ratings' estimated would be needed in order for the full year subscriber count to reach 3.9 million which is shy of the satcasters projections for 2007 sign-ups. 2007 totals will need to reach 1.56 million by July 1 in order for the pacing to be on-target.
At this time, though, though we see a consistent interest in satellite radio, "brand stimulation" remains soft with Sirius maintaining its significant brand lead...read more: here

5/30/2007 07:34:00 PM

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Mel To Keynote At Lehman Global Wireless Conference

Mel Karmazin to Keynote at The Lehman Brothers Worldwide Wireless Conference
NEW YORK, May 30, 2007 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX

SIRIUS Satellite Radio today announced that Mel Karmazin, its Chief Executive Officer, is expected to participate in a keynote discussion at the Lehman Brothers Worldwide Wireless Conference in New York, NY on Thursday, May 31, 2007 at approximately 4:30 pm ET...read more: here

5/30/2007 11:14:00 AM

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Competition Alert: Slacker Desktop Radio Available, Portable and Car Coming Soon

Slacker Desktop Radio now available
via www.orbitcast.com, May 30

Part two of Slacker's three prong attack on digital radio has just arrived: Slacker Desktop Radio.
Slacker Desktop Radio goes a step further than its Web-based counterpart, with features like a mini-player, visualizations, larger album art and playlists. Eventually, when the Slacker Portable gets released, Slacker Desktop Radio will sync your custom channels to the device.
The Slacker Portable, Slacker Desktop Radio, and Slacker web-app will all work together, updating each other with your custom preferences as you move from one to the other...read more: here

5/30/2007 11:14:00 AM

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Auto Makers Expect Rise In Sales Due To High Gas Prices

Ford Predicts Rise in Retail Sales
Wednesday May 30, 1:48 am ET, AP

Ford Official Predicts Rise in Retail Sales, Fueled by Crossovers


A Ford Motor Co. official predicts that his company's overall U.S. sales will drop in May, but its retail sales to individual buyers will show a year-over-year monthly increase for the first time since October of 2006.ADVERTISEMENT George Pipas, Ford's top sales analyst, told reporters Tuesday that the increase, which includes only the Ford, Lincoln and Mercury brands, would be fueled largely by rising sales of new crossover vehicles..........

WHAT IS ALL THE BUZZ ABOUT????? SSG Has Merged With Siris Buzz. You can catch the rest of this article and future articles by visiting www.siriusbuzz.com

5/30/2007 11:14:00 AM

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Sony Supports HD Radio (Reminiscent of Betamax, Perhaps Blu-Ray)

Toshiba takes European lead over Sony in HD
von Maija Palmer, Financial Times

The high-definition format war being waged by HD-DVD and Blu-Ray is reminiscent of the battle between VHS and Betamax. Aficionados of European cinema who would like to watch films such as Roberto Benigni's award-winning The Tiger and the Snow in high definition, may, for the time being at least, have to buy a HD-DVD player.......

WHAT IS ALL THE BUZZ ABOUT????? SSG Has Merged With Siris Buzz. You can catch the rest of this article and future articles by visiting www.siriusbuzz.com.

5/30/2007 07:18:00 AM

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Leveling The Royalty "Playing Field" (Those Who Live In Glass Houses Shouldn't Throw Stones!)

Radio Royalty Redux
Louis Hau, 05.30.07, Forbes

A war is brewing over the royalties that the recording industry wants U.S. radio stations to pay for the right to play music. And though the fight has gone nowhere in the past, changes in the entertainment world could alter the outcome this time.

If You were not aware, SSG has now merged with SiriusBuzz. You can read the rest of this article, and future articles by going to www.siriusbuzz.com

5/30/2007 07:11:00 AM

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Competion or Not

May 29, 2007
Tyler Savery

If you ask the NAB about whether or not satellite radio is competition you will get a long and drawn out answer that may leave you more confused than when you started. according to the NAB, competition is a one way proposition. They feel that satellite radio competes with terrestrial, but that terrestrial does not compete with satellite.

Now, do yourself a favor and explore the Ibiquity website and look deeper into HD Radio. Seems that they acknowledge competition in the very description of what HD radio is. Note that in two locations they speak specifically about subscriptions, and "free radio"

You can click the image to enlarge, and you will see clearly that they are referring to satellite radio. HMMMMMM.....competition.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM, No Position Ibiquity

5/29/2007 09:13:00 PM

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Bloomberg On Short Interest

Short Sales Break Record on NYSE; Market Bulls Get More Bullish
By Daniel Hauck and Michael Tsang, May 29 (Bloomberg)

Short sellers are betting against U.S. stocks like never before as the Standard & Poor's 500 Index approaches an all-time high. That's making some of the biggest bulls even more optimistic.
``What the short seller appears to be doing is doubling down,'' said Kenneth Fisher, who oversees about $40 billion as chairman of Fisher Investments in Woodside, California. ``You love to see it, because if you believe there is a basic driver to the bull market, they're going to get run over.''
The amount of shorting -- where traders sell borrowed stocks expecting to buy them back after prices fall -- jumped to 3.1 percent of the total shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange this month. That's the highest since at least 1931, according to Bespoke Investment Group LLC, a research firm in Mamaroneck, New York.
The wagers represent billions of dollars that could be invested in equities if short sellers close their positions. The bears also reassure fund managers who get skittish when few traders anticipate the possibility of a stock market decline...read more: here

5/29/2007 11:21:00 AM

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It's Not Just XM+SIRI: Google & DoubleClick Get A Second Request

FTC Will Conduct Antitrust Review Of Google-DoubleClick Deal
By KEVIN J. DELANEY May 29, 2007, Wall Street Journal

The Federal Trade Commission will conduct the government antitrust review of Google Inc.'s proposed $3.1 billion purchase of Internet advertising-services company DoubleClick Inc., according to a person familiar with the matter.
The FTC Friday made a so-called "second request" of Google, based in Mountain View, Calif., for additional information to assess any possible overlapping lines of business, this person said.
The issuance of a second request is a signal that the FTC is taking a hard look at the deal, as was expected. It doesn't mean the deal will be blocked; most such reviews end without action...read more: here

5/29/2007 06:05:00 AM

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Competition Alert: Sony To Introduce HD Radio Products

Sony to Debut HD Radio Products in July
Monday May 28, 11:02 pm ET , AP
Sony to Introduce Its First HD Radio Products in July, Joining a Group of Companies

Sony Corp. says it will introduce its first HD Radio products in July, joining the growing group of companies seeking to make the next-generation digital radio technology a standard feature in audio products over the next several years.
HD Radio is new form of digital radio broadcasting that allows radio stations to deliver extra music content on up to four side channels that piggyback on the frequency it already uses. So far, more than 1,200 radio stations nationwide have adopted the technology, according to the HD Digital Radio Alliance, a group of broadcasters promoting the new format...read more: here

5/29/2007 06:00:00 AM

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FCC Comment Scorecard - 5-25 Edition

May 25, 2007

Anti-Merger Camp Picks up 2 points

Since the last report 11 new comments have been filed bringing the total to date to 607.

The events of today see the Pro Merger in front by 10 points.

PRO MERGER – 53%

ANTI MERGER – 43%

NOT APPLICABLE – 4%

If you are interested in filing your opinion on the merger, you can do so by clicking the link in the right sidebar of this site. Readers should also note that ALL comments filed with the FCC become part of the docket and record.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/25/2007 10:47:00 PM

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Memorial Day Weekend

May 25, 2007
Tyler Savery

As a United States veteran who has been deployed, Memorial Day carries a special place for me. No matter what your political stance, or your view of the War in Iraq, please give consideration to thanking a member of our armed forces at some point over this weekend. Take a moment to watch these videos, and a moment to reflect on how great it is to have a country such as ours.

5/25/2007 02:47:00 PM

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Nancy Sinatra Gets Sirius

May 25, 2007
Tyler Savery

PRESS RELEASE

Nancy Sinatra to Launch New Weekly Show Exclusively on Sirius Satellite Radio

"Nancy for Frank" debuting this Sunday on Siriusly Sinatra channel 75


NEW YORK, May 25 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- SIRIUS Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI - News) today announced the launch of a new show hosted by Nancy Sinatra exclusively on Siriusly Sinatra, SIRIUS channel 75, on Sunday evenings. The Nancy for Frank show features Nancy playing favorite hits as well as rarely heard recordings by her father and other great artists dedicated to the time and spirit of Frank Sinatra. Nancy for Frank debuts this Sunday, May 27th at 5 pm Eastern.

Nancy Sinatra will play her favorite recordings by Frank Sinatra and other great artists, offering personal insights into the music and its background from her intimate perspective. Nancy has access to rare live concert performances and archived material that has never been released and will present it in this special setting.

"I'm proud and excited to share my father's music with SIRIUS listeners every Sunday," Nancy Sinatra said. "I have some rarities that few people have heard until now. I'm thrilled to play this music as well as traditional favorites from Dad's incredible library of music for this terrific audience."

Nancy for Frank will air Sunday evenings from 5-8 pm and will be rebroadcast on Tuesday afternoons from 2-5 pm and Thursday evenings from 9 pm- 12 midnight (all times Eastern) on SIRIUS, channel 75. Charles Granata, who wrote the acclaimed "Sessions with Sinatra," is co-producing the show with Nancy.

Siriusly Sinatra is the only 24-hour, seven-day-a-week, commercial-free channel, radio broadcast spanning the entire spectrum of Sinatra's career, as well as other artists from the big band, swing and traditional pop genres.

Position - Long Sirius

5/25/2007 01:53:00 PM

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XMSR Annual Shareholder's Meeting Today

XM is holding it's annual shareholder's meeting this morning. Here is the link to the presentation material.

5/25/2007 10:00:00 AM

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Kohl's Conflict of Interest Gains Momentum

You heard it first on SSG: here

BUSTED: Senator Kohl's financial conflict of interest
www.orbitcast.com, May 25th

It seems that everytime a lawmaker comes out in opposition of the Sirius-XM merger, they have some level of financial motivation. First there was Arizona's Mike Hubbard, who ended up owning his own radio station, and now it turns out that Senator Herb Kohl has his own financial stake in a terrestrial radio endeavor.
See, Senator Kohl owns the Milwaukee Bucks - here's the public disclosure (PDF). Now normally that's all fine and dandy....read more: here

5/25/2007 09:52:00 AM

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Short Positions Decline In SDARS

May 25, 2007
Tyler Savery

Many investors look at the short position in an equity in an effort to track sentiment. There are many things to consider when looking at the the short side of an equity, and one of those items is the convertible shares that are in play.

Convertible shares often translate to a short interest. the reason is that the company that receives the convertibles can virtually guarantee a profit by then shorting the stock. Both Sirius and XM have convertible shares in play, and thus, there will naturally be a short position.

When looking at a short position, perhaps the biggest indicator regarding sentiment happens with large shifts. This is what has happened in SDARS over the past month.

As of May 15, 2007 the short interest in SDARS has declined substantially:

SIRIUS

---DATE------Short Interest

May 15, 2007----- 91,292,203
Apr. 13, 2007---- 120,435,858
Mar. 15, 2007---- 123,631,119
Feb. 15, 2007---- 125,133,004
Jan. 12, 2007---- 118,871,835
Dec. 15, 2006---- 141,092,901
Nov. 15, 2006---- 148,301,811
Oct. 13, 2006---- 142,439,294
Sep. 15, 2006---- 129,495,599
Aug. 15, 2006----129,064,719
Jul. 14, 2006 ----110,127,890
Jun. 15, 2006----147,317,349

This represents a decline of 24% on the short side of the house, and a substantial change in position.

XMSR

----Date------Short Interest

May 15, 2007---- 24,460,867
Apr. 13, 2007---- 30,854,117
Mar. 15, 2007---- 31,202,313
Feb. 15, 2007---- 28,936,952
Jan. 12, 2007---- 33,975,151
Dec. 15, 2006---- 33,106,575
Nov. 15, 2006--- 32,034,550
Oct. 13, 2006---- 33,869,653
Sep. 15, 2006---- 30,195,001
Aug. 15, 2006---- 28,795,151
Jul. 14, 2006---- 37,064,358
Jun. 15, 2006---- 39,344,810

For XM this represents a 21% shift down in short interest, and again, a substantial change.

Both Sirius and XM are now at their respective lowest points of short interest in quite some time. Does this "call a bottom" on these stocks? That is tough to tell, but coupled with the ability of these equities to hold up in the face of the O & A news, the satellite issues at XM, and the Senator Kohl's sentiment headlines, investors that are bullish may be seeing positive signals. Only time will tell.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/25/2007 09:04:00 AM

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Sirius Annual Shareholder's Meeting

I attended the Sirius Annual Shareholder's Meeting yesterday, and due to prior commitments (I have a day job), I did not get the opportunity to post my summary until now; however, if I had written it yesterday, it certainly would have been a completely different story.

Sirius hosted a great meeting, 2 hours long, comprehensive content, no spin. Despite the stock price performance, there were no angry shareholders there just to vent. Mel was terrific in his presentation, and the Q&A. He did not miss a beat, had an amazing command of the facts, was articulate in conveying them, and left no stones unturned. I can say that I was inspired.

So now I am sitting here starting to write, and I see the headline takeaways from the meeting: "We Suck Less Than XM", "The Merger Is An Uphill Battle", "Karmazin Doubts Merger". Were these journalists at the same meeting?

In the spirit of open communication, Mel read his audience, and felt like he could infuse a bit of New York humor, thus, the "we suck less" comment. He was candid and honest, and did say, "the merger is an uphill battle", but the sentence included "I am very positive on the prospects". Comments must be put in context.

I am going to try to get a transcript of the meeting to highlight some of the key points (and misinterpretations), and you can decide for yourselves. It is clear that the press has a negative bias, and therein lies the opportunity.

5/25/2007 06:25:00 AM

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Minority Groups Embrace Merger

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Perhaps they feel that terrestrial radio ignores them. Perhaps they feel that terrestrial radio does not care about them. Perhaps they are simply tired of terrestrial radio's empty promises. Perhaps they are frustrated by the NAB seeking to block the creation of Low Powered FM radio stations. Those may all be some of the reasons why so many minority groups have come out in support of the merger, but realistically, it is more likely because satellite radio has embraced minority programming more so than any other audio entertainment medium.

Satellite radio embraced programming diversity early on, and over the years has expanded it. Whether you are black, Hispanic, gay, or Korean, there is programming available for you on satellite radio, and the merger would likely present even more minority programming. The latest to file support is the New York Federation of Hispanic Chambers of Commerce, which advocates on behalf of over 2,000,000 Hispanic owned businesses. you can read their letter to the FCC HERE.

While most of the merger discussion seems to center on the competitive landscape, and dollars, perhaps more important is the services that a merged satellite radio company can deliver to those that have been neglected by terrestrial radio for years. minority groups, and groups representing rural area listeners have all voiced STRONG SUPPORT FOR THE MERGER.

There is a reason why they have done this. Satellite radio has embraced minority programming. satellite radio offers a deeper breadth of programming in rural areas, and satisfies diverse programming needs for minorities. A merger would make even more content available. Imagine a fan of Latin music living in the middle of Nebraska. Do you really think that terrestrial radio will even attempt to meet programming needs for these people? In fact, take the issue of radio and apply it to any area in the center of our country. Imagine living in a small town and having access to only 3 or 4 terrestrial radio stations. satellite radio can fill programming holes in these areas NOW. How long do you think it will take terrestrial radio to fill the needs of these people? They have had over 40 years so far, and have not come to the plate yet!

Think about it. Step away from the share price, the synergies, the dollars, and the definition of competition for a moment. Look at what can happen in short order with a merger. In a Senate Hearing, the tribal leader of a Native American tribe spoke in regards to a desire for programming even with low powered FM. Imagine what can happen with a merged company. There is a strong potential that a Native American radio show could become reality.

Think about educational and personal development programming. Will terrestrial radio fill that void? Likely not. Their interests are in ad dollars, and none of them are willing to risk an investment in such programming. Simply stated, the audiences are likely smaller than would make financial sense. Now consider what can happen on satellite radio. Which medium is more likely to deliver this type of programming to consumers.

Simply stated, there is more at stake here than dollars. yes, dollars drive the bus, but it is satellite radio that will be able to take additional passengers on that bus.

5/24/2007 09:46:00 PM

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NAB Requests Information Through Freedom Of Information Act In What Appears To Be A Smear Campaign

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

In March of this year the National Association of Broadcasters sought information from the FCC that Sirius and XM had requested remain private. The issue centers around testing procedures, and communications with the FCC regarding the FM modulator issue of last year.

The stance the NAB is taking is to try to smear XM and Sirius by trying to point out that Sirius and XM have violated FCC Rules and Regulations.

In the letter the NAB states that there is a strong public interest in these materials.

I have read each of the comments filed for the merger, and have yet to find anyone seeking such information....let alone a "strong public interest".

Perhaps rather than casting stones at Sirius and XM for rules violations, the NAB should look within their own membership and address PAYOLA VIOLATIONS.

Clearly the NAB is throwing anything and everything at the wall in hopes that something will stick. Interested Readers can see the NAB's latest letter HERE

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/24/2007 09:30:00 PM

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FCC Comment scorecard - 5-24 edition

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

NO REAL CHANGES

Since the last report 10 new comments have been filed bringing the total to date to 596.

The events of today see the Pro Merger camp still in front by 12 points.

PRO MERGER – 54%

ANTI MERGER – 42%

NOT APPLICABLE – 4%

If you are interested in filing your opinion on the merger, you can do so by clicking the link in the right sidebar of this site. Readers should also note that ALL comments filed with the FCC become part of the docket and record.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/24/2007 09:26:00 PM

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NAB Hires Lobbyist

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Report excerpt from the Associated Press:

NAB Hires Lobbyist for Broadcast Issues

NAB Hires Bluewater to Lobby Federal Government on Proposed Radio Satellite Merger
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The National Association of Broadcasters hired Bluewater Strategies LLC to lobby the federal government on satellite radio broadcasting and other issues, according to a federal lobbying disclosure form filed Wednesday.

The firm said it will lobby on the proposed merger between Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. and XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc., royalty taxes, advertising restrictions and antitrust issues.
George Nethercutt, the former Republican congressman from Washington, is among those registered to lobby on behalf of the NAB......MORE HERE

5/24/2007 03:01:00 PM

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Morgan Stanley On April 2007 NPD

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Ben Swinburne of Morgan stanley published these comments regarding April 2007 NPD:

NPD Data Shows DARS April Sales down 24% YoY

Quick Comment:

April NPD satellite radio results display a 24% YoY retail category sales decline versus a 33% YoY decline in February and 29% in March. The 24% category decline in April suggests that our estimated 8% category decline forecast for the quarter could prove too optimistic. We would expect actual retail gross adds trends to be better than reported NPD results, because NPD does not include Wal-Mart or direct sales (online channel) which are both growing faster than other traditional retail channels. We also believe 2Q07 sales could benefit from seasonal Father’s Day demand as well as easier YoY comps resulting from retail product interruptions during 2Q and 3Q06. Specifically with XM, its FM modulator issues with the
FCC and the impact on radio supply began in 2Q06. We note that we are above consensus on 2Q07 retail net additions for the industry.

SIRI showed its first material market share improvement in April since December 2006, moving up to 55.5% of reported NPD sales. According to NPD (which excludes direct sales and wholesale retailer data) SIRI and XMSR retail category sales declined roughly 21% and 27%, respectively. XM sales declines in April resulted despite lowering ASPs 17% YoY compared to 2% at SIRI.

Implications:

Continued weaker retail category trends further highlight the importance of OEM adds for subscriber growth for both XM and SIRI. While April NPD data suggests our current forecast could be aggressive, we forecast XM and SIRI retail gross adds declining 4% and 12% in 2Q07 and 9% and 14%, respectively for FY07. Our category forecast assumes SIRI maintains its share advantage throughout the year.

XM’s market share fell back down to the 44-45% level in April after improving ~300 basis points in March. As discussed previously, we believe XM’s March sequential share gains were likely due to the beginning of the Major League Baseball season.

5/24/2007 01:53:00 PM

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Goldman Sachs On Liquidity - Sirius

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Mark Weinkes of Goldman Sachs published a note today note regarding liquidity:

More funding for Sirius? If so, why shouldn’t XM get a better deal?

Source of opportunity

We can envision several scenarios in which Sirius is actually fully funded, but think it is more likely the company returns to the capital markets as early as 2H2007. We believe this would be viewed negatively by investors and push the shares toward our $2.25 target, or another ~20% lower.

Whether operations, Loral, outside partners of XM Satellite help or hinder is an interesting question; Loral’s $100mn vendor financing seems available, but a $100mn compensating balance would tie up the same $100mn in 2007/2008; and XM, upon whose approval additional material financing is contingent, seemingly could get a better deal, or do nothing.

We believe significant expense management in 2007 and 2008 coupled with a return toward historical reported subscriber growth and churn will be key to reverse Sirius’ trend of increasing expenses and position the company to achieve a sustainable cashflow-positive business model.Having finished 2006 with $393mn in cash and pacing to burn $230mn in 2007, we believe Sirius may return to the capital markets in late 2007 orearly 2008 to fund 1H2008 operations as well some or all of the $200mn due on its newsatellite set to launch by 4Q2008.

We believe Sirius’ expense base will continue to rise with the rapidly growing revenue base. Sirius has not issued a target for 2007 EBITDA, as the company has historically, citing uncertainty of merger-related payments. While we respect the uncertainty, it is our understanding that the $4.6 million of merger-related costs incurred in 1Q2007 have been capitalized in “other long-term assets” on its balance sheet in accordance with SFAS No. 141, and as such would not appear to affect EBITDA. Additionally, even assuming $20-$30 million of incremental expense, it seems immaterial relative to an approximate ($530mn) EBITDA loss (pre-ESO) in 2006 and the targeted significant improvement in EBITDA in 2007.

We think it is possible, though challenging, for Sirius to get through 2008 without external financing—if fundamentals improve, but the timing of working capital and the committed payments leads us to believe Sirius’ business model is not likely to generate sufficient cash to cover the planned commitments. Siriushas a $300mn convertible bond offering due in 2009 that, absent a 60%-plus rally in the stock ($4.41 convert with stock), will likely need to be refinanced with additional debt. Further, Sirius has an estimated $200mn due on Sirius-5 by or in 1Q2009 and has stated plans to deploy two new satellites likely to be ready in 2010 and 2012 at an all-in cost of $300mn each. That said, it is possible that Sirius will execute sale-leaseback transactions once the satellites are in orbit and operational.

As a reminder, Sirius current liquidity includes a $100mn line of credit with Loral, and, in 3Q2005 Sirius executed a $500mn (9.625%, due 2013) debt offering and rolled forward its $500mn universal shelf registration. The covenants of the 9.625% notes permit both a subsequent $500mn in financing as well as specific vendor financing.

5/24/2007 01:45:00 PM

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Sirius Annual Meeting Update

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Most SSG readers likely listened to the annual meeting on the internet. If you did, you will have heard an SSG writer in the question and answer session.

Our writer will be publishing a synopsis of the annual meeting later today, so be sure to check back to get her insight into the annual meeting.

5/24/2007 11:55:00 AM

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XM Cuts Deal For BCS National Championship Game

may 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

XM Reaches Multi-Year Agreement With Fox Sports To Be Exclusive Satellite Radio Network of BCS National Championship Game, Other BCS Games

WASHINGTON, May 24 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- XM Satellite Radio today announced it has reached a multi-year agreement with FOX Sports to become the exclusive satellite radio network of the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) National Championship Game and other BCS games, beginning January 2008.

The agreement means XM Radio is the satellite radio network for college football fans to tune into the Allstate BCS National Championship Game, Allstate Sugar Bowl, Tostitos Fiesta Bowl and FedEx Orange Bowl.

"College sports is a very important element of our programming strategy, and these games are a must for college football fans," said Eric Logan, executive vice president of programming, XM Satellite Radio. "These games help reinforce XM Radio's position as the ultimate destination for people who love college sports. FOX Sports is a longtime partner of XM, and we're very excited to be working together to bring live coverage of these games to fans across the country."

"FOX Sports is pleased to have reached a multi-year BCS rights agreement with XM, the nation's leading satellite radio service," said FOX Sports COO Larry Jones. "The BCS is a true jewel in the nation's sports landscape, and everything we do in conjunction with it needs to be top-notch."

"The BCS is pleased to have XM as the exclusive satellite home of the Allstate BCS National Championship Game as well as the Allstate Sugar Bowl, Tostitos Fiesta Bowl and the FedEx Orange Bowl. College football fans all over the country now will be able to listen to these BCS games virtually anywhere," said BCS Coordinator Mike Slive.

The games are the latest addition to XM's robust line-up of college sports programming. XM is the official satellite radio network of the college sports conferences ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-10, and SEC. More than eight million subscribers across the U.S. listen to XM on radios for the car, home, and portable use. XM puts a special emphasis on serving "displaced" sports fans who cannot hear their favorite teams on local outlets.

XM is the sports leader in satellite radio with more than 5,000 live sporting events a year. In addition to college sports, XM airs every Major League Baseball game for every team. XM carries NBA games on ESPN Radio, the National Hockey League, the PGA TOUR, and the IndyCar Series, including the 91st Indianapolis 500 this Sunday. XM is also the leading provider of sports talk radio with the 24-hour channels XM Sports Nation, MLB Home Plate, Home Ice, ESPN Radio, ESPNews, and Fox Sports Radio.

Position - Long XM

5/24/2007 10:22:00 AM

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Don Imus and Sirius?

May 24, 2007
Tyler Savery

Asked about whether Don Imus would be coming to Sirius, Mel Karmazin responded that he has had no conversations with him.

Position - Long Sirius

5/24/2007 09:39:00 AM

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Senator Kohl's Comments Defy Logic (Something's Rotten...)

I'm sure that Kohl has more conflicts of interest. I'm just getting started.

Below (in bold) are excerpts from Senator Kohl's statement (The Wall Street Journal) followed by my comments:

"The combined firm would have the ability to raise prices to consumers, who will have no choice but to accept the price increase,"

Obviously, if the combined satellite radio company raised prices, consumers could cancel service as an option, and go back to listening to free AM/FM or HD radio.

The senator said that satellite radio was nationally based, nearly commercial free, of a better audio quality than traditional over-the-air radio, and offers a wider selection of channels. For all these reasons, Sen. Kohl said, he had concluded it was distinct from other forms of radio and audio entertainment.

Because terrestrial radio has poor quality sound (even though they have had access to digital technology for years), limited selection (due to payola restraints) and is loaded with commercials (so the station owners can maximize profits), satellite radio should not be penalized. Terrestrial could improve sound quality by spending to upgrade to HD (which they are aggressively doing, finally), succomb less to payola (which limits selection of content) and pack fewer commercial minutes per hour.

Kohl claims that he can't be bought because he is so rich, but how do you think he got rich?
Logic leads me to believe that there most be some motivation to issue these inaccurate statements against the merger.

So after a bit of research, I found that Herb Kohl is the President/Director of the Milwaukee Bucks Basketball team, and has a significant financial stake. The Bucks buy air time on terrestrial radio. Sirius content includes the NBA. Those listeners having access would more than double with a merger. What would happen if all those WTMJ listeners had an option?

Bucks to sell ads for radio
The Business Journal of Milwaukee - January 19, 2007
The Milwaukee Bucks will assume full responsibility for advertising sales on their radio broadcasts and buy the air time for their games that run on WTMJ-AM (620) beginning with the 2007-2008 season.
The Bucks and WTMJ management began informing their staffs and advertisers of the new arrangement Jan. 17 as part of a new broadcasting contract.
Until now, the Bucks and WTMJ both sold commercial time and sponsorships on the broadcasts and shared the revenue.
WTMJ general manager Jon Schweitzer and Bucks vice president of business operations John Steinmiller declined to comment on the reason for the change or the duration of the new contract.
Steinmiller said the Bucks hope to increase their broadcast revenue under the new deal. link: here

5/24/2007 06:34:00 AM

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CAS

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

It is my hope that you do not mind me taking a moment to bring something to your attention that has nothing to do with Sirius, XM, or any equity.

CAS stands for Childhood Apraxia of Speech. Childhood Apraxia of Speech is a motor speech disorder. For reasons not yet fully understood, children with apraxia of speech have great difficulty planning and producing the precise, highly refined and specific series of movements of the tongue, lips, jaw and palate that are necessary for intelligible speech. Apraxia of speech is sometimes called verbal apraxia, developmental apraxia of speech, or verbal dyspraxia.

Putting it in simple terms, a child with CAS typically does not have the ability to verbally express themselves, but has very normal cognition. The child understands and absorbs information like a sponge, but has no way to express. This can be extremely frustrating for a child. Word form in their mind, but can not come out of their mouth.

Early diagnosis and extensive therapy are two very important keys in treating a child with this condition. CAS is rare, and often a child with CAS is misdiagnosed with Autism. Treatment for CAS differs substantially from Autism, and many children can become even more frustrated.

There are many aspects of CAS treatment that are not covered by insurance. This can put a substantial financial burden on a family. As research progresses with CAS, it is my hope that not only will diagnosis and therapy improve, but that insurance companies will better understand the condition and the required treatments.

Why do I take the time to express this? Because my 3 year old daughter suffers from CAS. She is a wonderful little girl. She is inquisitive, and very intelligent. We use a lot of sign language in my home, and she has a sign language vocabulary of nearly 700 words. Her ability to verbally express herself has improved dramatically over the past 6 months, and we are very proud of her. The sadness however comes through when we see her frustration. She tries so hard to say things, and sometimes simply can't. We are very hopeful that she will continue to progress, and that by the time she is ready for kindergarten that she will be able to do so in a standard classroom with her peers. My daughter is a bundle of joy to our family, and we will do anything for her.

What I am asking of you is that you click on the picture below, watch the brief video, and consider supporting the Childhood Apraxia of Speech Association of North America (CASANA). It has become an organization that I support because I feel that it is important that children need to have a voice, and that children need to be able to express their hopes and dreams. I also feel that it is CASANA is very important for the families that do not have the means to pay for the numerous therapy sessions required to treat CAS. CASANA gives these families needed support, guidance, and direction.

It is my hope that SSG readers would consider supporting CASANA in some way. Please click the image below to learn more.

Thank You for your consideration and support.

5/23/2007 09:41:00 PM

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FCC Comment Scorecard - 5-23 edition

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

STATS REMAIN SAME

Since the last report 15 new comments have been filed bringing the total to date to 586.

The events of today see the Pro Merger camp still in front by 10 points.

PRO MERGER – 54%

ANTI MERGER – 42%

NOT APPLICABLE – 4%

If you are interested in filing your opinion on the merger, you can do so by clicking the link in the right sidebar of this site. Readers should also note that ALL comments filed with the FCC become part of the docket and record.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/23/2007 09:06:00 PM

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A deeper Look at April NPD

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

NPD sales are in, and while the year over year comparisons are down, there are many things to consider.

1. Retail sales will slow with a wider OEM penetration. If you already have a satellite radio in your car, you have no need to buy from retail.

2. The year over year comparison for April shows and improvement over the same comparisons for March, February, and January. There was a point that YOY comparisons were off by over 40%. The fact is that this is the best YOY performance so far this year.

3. April is traditionally a slow retail month. With no new products, and rebates trimmed back, there simply is not a huge push in April.

4. NPD is not capturing the same percentage of the Gross retail number as they were last year. Last year, on average, NPD was capturing between 60% and 70% of the overall sectors GROSS retail number. This year the trend seems to be closer to 50%. This happens in part because retailers that do not participate in NPD such as Wal Mart are penetrating into the SDARS retail market.

What people need to consider along with retail is what is happening in the OEM channel, and other factors. Simply stated, while at face value the NPD data seems to be trending down, it is not necessarily the case, and in point of fact, SDARS overall market penetration seems to be quite healthy.

5/23/2007 06:11:00 PM

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Competition Alert: Pandora Radio Goes Mobile

Uh oh, Pandora Goes Mobile
via www.orbitcast.com, May 23

Pandora has just announced several new features and ways to listen to Pandora's personalized Internet radio. One of the key announcements is their new partnership with Sprint, which marks as Pandora's first mobile deal.
Sprint subscribers can now listen to Pandora on select mobile phones using a pre-installed player or downloaded software. Just point your Sprint browser to Pandora.com to initiate the download...read more: here

5/23/2007 05:03:00 PM

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Senator Kohl Opposes Merger - Old News Resurfaces With Letter

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

According to a published Reuters report by Peter Kaplan, the chairman of the Senate's AntiTrust subcommittee has expressed that the DOJ and FCC oppose the merger on grounds that it would "cause substantial harm to competition and consumers" and that "Such a result should be be unacceptable under antitrust law and as a matter of communication policy"

Kohl letter was forwarded to FCC Chairman Kevin Martin and the Justice Department's antitrust chief, Thomas Barnett.

Those that follow the sector may remember Senator Kohls stances in the hearings held before the subcommittee in March of this year. Kohl did not seem open to the idea of a merger at that time, so this letter should come as little surprise.

In the scheme of things, Representatives and Senators actually have little power with regards to the decision on the merger. However, their comments can carry weight with regulators that do have power in the decision process. This is why it is important to let your voice be heard regarding the merger. Not only to the FCC, but to your Representatives, Senators, and committees that have had hearings on the subject.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/23/2007 03:00:00 PM

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April 2007 NPD Data Released

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

April 2007 Retail sales, as tracked by NPD are in. (CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE)

MARKET SHARE

SIRIUS – 55%

XMSR – 45%

This represents 20 consecutive months that Sirius has maintained a lead at NPD retail. The market share for Sirius improved points 2 over the data from March.

YEAR OVER YEAR

SIRIUS YOY for April is down 20%

XM YOY for April is down 27%

Sector YOY for April is down 24%

SEQUENTIAL MONTH OVER MONTH

SIRIUS – Down 16% from last month

XM – Down 25% from last month

Sector - Down 21% from last month


Position - Long sirius, Long XM

5/23/2007 02:56:00 PM

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NAB Hires Crowell Moring To Develop Anti Merger Analysys

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

In their latest move, the National Association of Broadcasters has hired Crowell Moring to develop analysis against the merger.

The opinion in many ways mirrors those that were already expressed by the NAB's other hired guns. One of the primary focal points seems to be whether or not terrestrial radio is a competitor to SDARS. The hired guns of Crowell Moring quote Karmazin in statements about the subject, but fail to quote Rehr with some of his comments.

In an interesting comment, the analyst states that the the issue is whether SDARS subscribers find terrestrial radio to be a reasonable substitute, but not whether terrestrial radio listeners consider SDARS to be a reasonable substitute. Interesting how one way this thinking is.

In another section the author speaks about how SDARS is complimentary to terrestrial radio, and is a unique market. If this is the case, then why does the NAB carry such angst over the merger? Clearly the NAB sees competition here, and documented statements from Rehr point this out.

It is always interesting to read analysis such as this. They spend half of the time telling you that they are not competitors, and the other half saying that the merger would hurt competition. Seems that the NAB, their stances, and the reports they buy get one thing consistent.........A CONFUSING AND CONVOLUTED MESSAGE.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/23/2007 10:45:00 AM

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XM Offers Credit To Consumers Due To Outage

May 23, 2007

5/23/2007 09:21:00 AM

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XM and GM Announce Pre-Owned Program

May 23, 2007
Tyler Savery

XM and General Motors Launch Satellite Radio Program for GM Certified Used Vehicles, Cadillac and HUMMER Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles

More Than 115,000 XM-Equipped Certified GM Vehicles Projected To Be Sold in 2007, Increasing to 168,000 for 2008

WASHINGTON, May 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- XM (Nasdaq: XMSR - News), the nation's leading satellite radio service, and General Motors Corp. today launched a satellite radio trial program for GM Certified Used Vehicles, Cadillac Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles, and HUMMER Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles, now making the XM trial program available to buyers of both new and certified used models. XM will be available in more than 115,000 of these certified GM vehicles in 2007, and grow to more than 168,000 vehicles in 2008.

Under this program, all GM Certified Used Vehicles (Chevrolet, Pontiac, Buick, GMC, Oldsmobile models), Cadillac and HUMMER Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles equipped with XM Radio will be available with three trial months of XM service and a waived activation fee. A list of previous model year Chevrolet, Pontiac, Buick, GMC, Oldsmobile, Cadillac and HUMMER vehicles factory-equipped with XM can be found online HERE

GM is the nation's largest automaker and the industry leader in manufacturer-certified used vehicle sales, representing nearly one-third of the volume of all certified used vehicles sold in the U.S. GM Certified Used Vehicles has been the top-selling certified used vehicle brand each of the last five years, according to Autodata Corp.

"GM is XM's largest automotive partner and XM looks forward to providing premier entertainment to this important and growing segment of pre-owned vehicle customers," said Marisa Uchin, director of remarketing and automotive strategy, XM. "Now customers who purchase a certified GM used vehicle from Chevrolet, Pontiac, Buick, GMC, Oldsmobile, Cadillac or HUMMER have the opportunity to conveniently experience XM's 170-plus channels of music, talk, sports and entertainment, adding to the exceptional driving experience customers come to expect when purchasing a certified used vehicle."

"Over the last five years, XM has been featured in millions of GM vehicles," said Paul Pejza, manager, GM Certified Used Vehicles. "It is only natural that we launch this program to provide GM Certified Used Vehicles customers an even more compelling value."

GM Certified Used Vehicles, the number-one selling manufacturer-certified brand, are high-quality, reconditioned vehicles, available at participating Buick, Chevrolet, Pontiac and GMC dealers. All models are six years old or newer, have 60,000 miles or less, are reconditioned to stringent GM Certified Used Vehicles standards and must undergo a rigorous 117-point inspection and reconditioning process. All GM Certified Used Vehicles are supported by a fully transferable 5-year, 100,000-mile powertrain limited warranty with no deductible*, three-month/3,000-mile comprehensive bumper-to-bumper warranty, a three-day/150-mile customer satisfaction guarantee, and 24-hour roadside assistance during the term of the warranty. For more information about GM Certified Used Vehicles, visit www.gmcertified.com.

Cadillac Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles come with a 6-year/100,000-mile powertrain limited warranty; and Hummer Certified Pre-Owned Vehicles come with a bumper to bumper 6-year/100,000 mile warranty. For a previously owned HUMMER to become a Certified Pre-Owned Vehicle it is tested to meet HUMMER's stringent standards and undergoes a rigorous 100+ point inspection. In addition, vehicles must be less than 48 months old, driven fewer than 50,000 miles with no serious accidents or body repairs.

Position - Long XM, No Position GM

5/23/2007 09:12:00 AM

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SSG Forums

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

SSG is happy to announce a soft launch of an "SSG Forum" on Google Groups. This group page will allow readers to converse and share opinions with each other. At this time membership in the groups is by referral only. Approved readers will have access to the group, and are free to post at their leisure.

The purpose of this group is to give SSG readers an outlet to post and share ideas without the hassle of spammers, and people that carry no real interest in these equities. Access is by referral only so as to allow the group to get established, organized, and for the purpose of selecting good moderators to maintain control. As the group grows, and these moderators are selected, the forum may become open to all readers.

If you are interested in becoming a member, please email satellitestandard@gmail.com

5/22/2007 10:01:00 PM

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AAA and Sirius

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

Last evening on my commute home, I tuned into a terrestrial radio station (WEEI AM) to catch a little bit of Red Sox talk. As I was driving I heard an advertisement for AAA. Not unusual in the least.....this is terrestrial radio and advertising is expected.

What was surprising was that Sirius Satellite Radio had a prominent mention in the ad. Listeners were informed about all of the other benefits of being a member of AAA, and Sirius is one of those benefits.

Seems that while the relationship between Sirius and AAA has been known for quite some time, the added bonus of being included in terrestrial radio advertising was not something I expected.

DETAILS

5/22/2007 09:42:00 PM

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FCC Comment Scorecard - 5-22 Edition

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

ANTI MERGER CAMP CLOSES GAP

Since the last report 19 new comments have been filed bringing the total to date to 571. Of today’s 19 comments, 3 were for the merger and 16 were against. Once again, most of the comments were form letters that seem to be an effort established by a group of people on either side of the issue.

The events of today see the Pro Merger camp still in front by 10 points.

PRO MERGER – 53%

ANTI MERGER – 43%

NOT APPLICABLE – 4%

If you are interested in filing your opinion on the merger, you can do so by clicking the link in the right sidebar of this site. Readers should also note that ALL comments filed with the FCC become part of the docket and record.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/22/2007 09:24:00 PM

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XM Updates Outage News

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

XM Satellite Radio has resumed normal levels of service for customers who experienced outages or significantly degraded service starting yesterday.

The problem occurred during the loading of software to a critical component of the satellite broadcast system, which resulted in a temporary loss of signal from one of the company's satellites.

After you turn on your XM radio, please allow five to ten minutes to reacquire the XM signal.
XM apologizes for any inconvenience this has caused.

Position - Long XM

5/22/2007 01:36:00 PM

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Reports That XM Satellite Issue Resolved

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

Reports are coming in that the signal issue with XM has been resolved.

At this point there is no update on the XM website.

We will keep you posted

Position - Long XM

5/22/2007 11:56:00 AM

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Sirius Redundancy

May 22, 2007


Tyler Savery

With XM’s service being down, many are likely wondering if something similar can happen to Sirius. Like anything technical, the answer is not always easy, but here are a few things investors in this sector can think about.

1. The orbits of the satellites of Sirius and XM differ. XM’s satellites sit lower on the horizon, are stationary, and are “always on” (meaning that they are always delivering signal for consumers). Sirius’ three satellites are at a higher elevation and run in an elliptical orbit. Two of the satellites are always delivering service, and a third stops delivering service when its path takes it over south America.

2. Each system has its advantages and disadvantages.

3. XM runs their repeater network off of the XM#3 satellite. A failure in that satellite also creates a failure in the repeater network. This is what has happened. XM fields a larger repeater network than Sirius.

4. Sirius runs their repeaters off of a non-Sirius satellite. They lease “satellite space” from an outside company, and that is where the repeaters get their signal.

5. If XM needs to do updates on a satellite, they must do so while the satellite is “live and operational” (delivering content to the consumer).

6. Sirius’ orbital path basically takes a satellite “off-line” for an 8 hour period each day. This allows maintenance to happen when the satellite is not being used to deliver content to consumers.

7. If Sirius were to lose signal from 1 of the three satellites, the orbits of the remaining 2 satellites could be adjusted to minimize outages or service interruptions.

8. Sirius has a fully paid for spare satellite on the ground. Should there be a satellite failure, they would need to schedule a launch. As a side note, Sirius has already contracted and paid for the launch vehicle as well.

The key in a satellite delivered system is redundancy. Redundancy allows for a hic-up to happen without an interruption, or at least a very limited interruption to the consumer. There are some substantial differences in how Sirius and XM accomplish redundancy.

In a nutshell, the question as to whether a similar situation could impact Sirius rests with what types of problems happen. Having an 8 hour window to maintain a satellite each day has some advantages. They are not trying to work on a “live satellite”. Now, as a disclaimer, I am not a satellite engineer, nor a “rocket scientist”, and encourage those with knowledge relating to the subject to comment. The point is that there exists some redundancy that investors may not be aware of, and there are differences between the two systems.

Position – Long Sirius, Long XM

5/22/2007 11:52:00 AM

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XM Service Update - May 22

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

XM has issued a service update. Subscribers can log onto www.xmradio.com for additional information. This is the latest update:

XM Service Update

As many of you know, XM customers have experienced service outages or significantly degraded service since Monday mid-morning, May 21.

We quickly identified the problem and are working hard to return to our normal levels of service. The problem occurred during the loading of software to a critical component of our satellite broadcast system, which resulted in a loss of signal from one of our satellites. We expect normal service to resume midday today (eastern daylight time).

XM apologizes for any inconvenience this has caused. For updates, please go to www.xmradio.com

In the meantime, you can enjoy many of our music channels on XM Radio Online (xmro.xmradio.com) if you are close to computer.

Again, we regret any inconvenience for not having your XM Radio service fully available.

Position - Long XM

5/22/2007 10:51:00 AM

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At Martha's Table - New Sirius Content

May 27, 2007
Tyler Savery

Martha Stewart Living Radio Launches 'At Martha's Table' Exclusively on SIRIUS Satellite Radio

Martha goes live one-on-one for an in-depth conversation with the tastemakers of today
Series debuts with internationally acclaimed legendary chef and restaurateur Jean-Georges Vongerichten

NEW YORK, May 22 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- SIRIUS Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI - News) announced today the launch of At Martha's Table, a new live one-on-one interview series on Martha Stewart Living Radio. The series features Martha Stewart conducting in-depth, intimate conversations with today's most influential tastemakers.

On the debut broadcast of At Martha's Table, Martha will sit down with internationally acclaimed chef and restaurateur Jean-Georges Vongerichten. The show will air live on Wednesday, May 23 from 7:00 - 8:00 pm on Martha Stewart Living Radio, SIRIUS channel 112. Martha and Jean-Georges will discuss his life, passions, and inspirations, and take calls from listeners. Jean-Georges will also share tips for the home cook.

Recognized internationally for his creative cuisine, Jean-Georges Vongerichten is one of the world's leading chefs who consistently sets new standards and helps define today's generation of cooking. He holds a total of sixteen stars from The New York Times for his New York City restaurants JoJo, Vong, Jean Georges, Mercer Kitchen, 66, Spice Market and Perry St. He has also received a total of 5 Michelin stars for Jean Georges, Vong, and Perry St. He currently has 19 restaurants in locations around the globe, including London, Paris, Shanghai, the Bahamas, Chicago, Minneapolis, and Bora Bora.

On Martha Stewart Living Radio, SIRIUS channel 112, Martha Stewart and her team of lifestyle experts teach, advise, and inspire around the-clock with shows about cooking, pet care, gardening, collecting, crafts, weddings and much more.

5/22/2007 10:45:00 AM

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XM Outage Continues

May 22, 2007
This morning, many XM listeners were in hopes of getting their service back. As yet it has not happened.

Grateful Dead Get Sirius

May 22, 2007

5/22/2007 08:59:00 AM

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Sirius Hooks Up With NXP Semiconductors for Satellite TV

May 22, 2007
Tyler Savery

SIRIUS Selects NXP Semiconductors for Satellite TV Service

Nexperia PNX9520 Processor to Enable SIRIUS Backseat TV in 2008 Model Year Chrysler Vehicles

EINDHOVEN, Netherlands & NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--NXP Semiconductors today announced that Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (Nasdaq:SIRI - News) has selected its Nexperia(TM) PNX9520 processor for SIRIUS Backseat TV(TM), a ground-breaking TV service that delivers live TV from the best family TV programmers directly to vehicles. SIRIUS Backseat TV will be launched later this year in select 2008 model Chrysler, Jeep® and Dodge vehicles. The PNX9520 multimedia processor from NXP has been designed into a system from Delphi Corporation.

Families will be able to access SIRIUS Backseat TV's high-quality entertainment through a simple, easy-to-operate TV service, featuring children's TV channels including Nickelodeon, Disney Channel and Cartoon Network.

"SIRIUS is dedicated to delivering the best in-vehicle entertainment available anywhere. With its multimedia processor, NXP is enabling us to deliver a high-quality experience - in terms of both video and audio - to make our new SIRIUS Backseat TV the Best TV in the Backseat," said James E. Meyer, SIRIUS President, Operations and Sales.

The Nexperia PNX9520 processor from NXP enables vibrant, leading-edge picture quality through a combination of highly efficient video decoding, advanced post-processing and graphics acceleration features - all available in a single, highly integrated device. Specifically designed for in-car entertainment, the PNX9520 solution is unique in offering advanced software features, including the ability to implement the latest audio and video codecs as they become available.

"NXP is excited to be working with SIRIUS, a pioneer in in-car video services, with its new SIRIUS Backseat TV," said Kurt Sievers, vice president, Automotive and Identification, NXP Semiconductors. "The PNX9520 multimedia processor makes the most of proven Nexperia technology from NXP - bringing the rich sensory experiences that consumers are accustomed to at home to the car."

Position - Long Sirius

5/22/2007 08:56:00 AM

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Why DirectTV/Echostar Would Get Approval In Today's Regulatory Environment

Google Proposes Innovation in Radio Spectrum Auction
By JOHN MARKOFF, The New York Times, May 22

Google filed a proposal on Monday with the Federal Communications Commission calling on the agency to let companies allocate radio spectrum using the same kind of real-time auction that the search engine company now uses to sell advertisements.
Executives at Google, based in the Mountain View, Calif., said that the company had no plans to bid in the closely watched sale of a swath of broadcast spectrum scheduled for February 2009 as part of the nation’s transition to digital broadcast television.
The company, the world’s dominant search engine, has, however, become an active participant in the debate over the control of access to broadband digital networks because it wants to create more competition among digital network providers like cable companies and Internet service providers.
The Google filing comes two days before a deadline for public comments set in an F.C.C. rule-making procedure for the sale of spectrum in the 700 MHz band, now largely used by UHF television broadcasters.
The agency is planning to set the rules for its auction this year as potential bidders, including telephone, cable and satellite operators — as well as potential consortiums interested in creating new next-generation digital wireless networks — jockey for position. Several groups of bidders hope to use the spectrum to create a new nationwide digital wireless network that would serve as an alternative broadband channel to businesses and consumers, competing with existing telephone and cable providers.
“The driving reason we’re doing this is that there are not enough broadband options for consumers,” said Adam Kovacevich, a spokesman for Google’s policy office in Washington. “In general, it’s the belief of a lot of people in the company that spectrum is allocated in an inefficient manner.”...read more: here

5/22/2007 06:48:00 AM

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FCC Comment Scorecard - 5-21 Edition

May 21, 2007
Tyler Savery

Comments Virtually Even Today - 29 PRO and 24 ANTI

Since the last report 53 new comments have been filed bringing the total to date to 552. Of today’s 53 comments, 29 were for the merger and 24 were against. Once again, most of the comments were form letters that seem to be an effort established by a group of people on either side of the issue. Another thing we see happening is the backlash from fans of Opie & Anthony, who now seem to be making efforts in the anti-merger camp. The effort seems to have died down a bit, but still exists with O & A fans making up over 20% of the anti merger comments.

The events of today see the Pro Merger camp still in front by 14 points.

PRO MERGER – 55%

ANTI MERGER – 41%

NOT APPLICABLE – 4%

If you are interested in filing your opinion on the merger, you can do so by clicking the link in the right sidebar of this site. Readers should also note that ALL comments filed with the FCC become part of the docket and record.

Position - Long Sirius, Long XM

5/21/2007 10:35:00 PM

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Foxxhole Launches On Sirius

Jamie Foxx Launches The Foxxhole Channel Exclusively on SIRIUS Satellite RadioMonday Foxx will executive produce and contribute live from around the world
24/7 comedy, music, and entertainment variety channel features innovative content, showcases new and legendary comedians and artists

NEW YORK, May 21 /PRNewswire-FirstCall

SIRIUS Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI - News) today announced the launch of The Foxxhole, Jamie Foxx's exclusive 24/7 comedy, music and entertainment channel. Jamie Foxx, Academy Award-winning actor, American Music Award-winning and GRAMMY® nominated artist, and comedian is the channel's executive producer and will broadcast live from around the world....read more: here

5/21/2007 09:52:00 PM

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XM #3 Suffers In Orbit Difficulty

May 21, 2007
Tyler Savery

After many rumors and a lot of speculation, it appears that one of XM Satellite radio's newer satellites (XM#3) is the one that had difficulty.

The good news is that it appears that software and a repositioning of the satellite will be able to correct the issue.

Wedbush Excerpt:

Wedbush confirmed with XMSR that its XM-3 satellite suffered an in-orbit difficulty earlier today. Firm learned that in order to fix this issue, XMSR had to perform a software upgrade on the satellite, which required the satellite to be re-oriented to be corrected. That process also reportedly required the satellite to stop broadcasting. XMSR has yet to issue a press release or post some sort of update on its website to its subscribers. Based on firm's experience, it is not common for broadcast satellites to stop broadcasting in order to be "fixed". Keep in mind, it is not uncommon for satellites to report yearly availability rates of 99.999%. Thus, this type of service disruption is a natural concern. Obviously, once the satellite resumes broadcasting and XMSR's service is back on track, their concerns would be resolved.

Position - Long XM

5/21/2007 06:09:00 PM

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XM Signals

May 21, 2007

5/21/2007 02:20:00 PM

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Competition Alert: Clear Channel Launches Mobile Phone Access

Clear Channel Radio Launches Mobile Phone Access
May 21, 2007, www.fmqb.com

Clear Channel announced today the launch of a series of customized mobile phone applications for its New York cluster of stations: WHTZ (Z100), WAXQ, WKTU, WWPR (Power 105.1) and WLTW. CC plans to launch similar programs on at least 100 more stations by the end of 2008, starting with stations in Salt Lake City and St. Louis within in the next 60 days.
Listeners will be able to send text messages to the studio, participate in contests, receive alerts that their favorite song is coming up, make requests and find out what the last ten songs played were. They can also sign up for music news alerts, learn about in-studio appearances by artists, check traffic and participate in polls. Starting in June, station-branded wallpaper and format-specific ringtones will be available too.
“By making these applications available for free via any cellular phone carrier, Clear Channel Radio is monumentally expanding access to its growing mobile content portfolio,” said Clear Channel CEO John Hogan. “Each application allows users to have an individualized, on-demand experience, which will strengthen listeners’ connection with their favorite radio stations.”...read more: here

5/21/2007 11:07:00 AM

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XM Gets Political

May 21, 2007

Labels: POTUS 08, xm, xm shows

5/21/2007 10:11:00 AM

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Take a Minute And you May Win

May 19, 2007
Tyler Savery

Every once in a while it is good to step away from the news of the SDARS sector and do something fun. It is even better when that fun activity can win you some great prizes.

The folks at Tivo are having a contest.

This gives you the chance to win prizes such as a lifetime of Tivo service and a 42" plasma television. it would be great if an SSG reader were able to win the prize. so, go ahead and enter the contest. you have nothing to lose, and perhaps a great prize in your future.



This Tivo campaign is sponsored by Tivo. Good luck

5/19/2007 12:01:00 PM

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